Clinton Leads in Indiana; State AG Forces Pollsters to Use Different Method of Polling
Compiled from InsiderAdvantage and Southern Political Report staff
May 2, 2008 —
An InsiderAdvantage survey conducted April 30-May 1 of 478 registered likely voters in Indiana’s Democratic presidential primary shows Hillary Clinton leading Barack Obama 47% to 40%.
AN IMPORTANT NOTE: It is illegal to poll using automated calls in Indiana. The Indiana attorney general’s office informed InsiderAdvantage that the state, which is the only state in the nation which bans automated calls even for research and polling purposes, is already preparing to take action against undisclosed companies that used automated calling to poll the Democratic presidential race.
InsiderAdvantage’s Matt Towery: “Many of the top firms are now utilizing advanced automated surveys, which have proved more reliable than traditional phone rooms this season. My guess is that the automated systems, which are used by many top firms, including ours, have provided better results because of the ‘anonymity’ the system provides when asking respondents to deal with an often racially charged race on the Democratic side.
“Consequently, our ability to have accurately polled the winner in most contests this season is hampered by this constraint in Indiana. This is a phone room poll, and phone room polls are now no longer, in my judgment, as reliable as automated polls for horserace contests such as these primaries.
“For the record, InsiderAdvantage is not one of the firms that violated Indiana’s laws, although we believe their law to be a disservice to the public, and to the ability to gather accurate public opinion.”
Here are the results of our survey of the May 6 Indiana Democratic primary. The sample size is 478 registered likely voters. Data have been weighted for age, race and gender. The margin of error plus or minus 4%.
Click here for crosstabs.