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Florida Republican and Democrat Presidential Primary Result
Compiled from InsiderAdvantage and Southern Political Report staff
January 17, 2008 —
InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Surveys
NOTE: InsiderAdvantage has been polling the Republican race in South Carolina. Because of a surge in which we are seeing in support for Mike Huckabee, we will not release our survey on the South Carolina Republican primary until midday Friday, so that we analyze a longer trend and larger survey sample. Friday’s release will include analysis from Lee Bandy, South Carolina’s dean of political journalists (“The State” newspaper in Columbia. Lee is also currently a political correspondent and editor with our InsiderAdvantage publications.
Florida Republican and Democrat Presidential Primary Result
InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Survey Conducted for the Florida Chamber of Commerce January 15-16
Republican Primary
446 registered voters likely to vote in Tuesday Jan. 29 primary. Weighted for age, race, gender, and party affiliation. Marin of error +/4.5%.
Giuliani: 21%
McCain: 20%
Romney: 20%
Huckabee: 13%
Thompson: 7%
Paul: 6%
Undecided: 13%
InsiderAdvantage/Creators Syndicate Matt Towery: “This is anyone’s race. My guess is that the candidate who emerges the winner from South Carolina will receive another one of these two-or-three day “bumps,” which might hold through the Jan. 29 Florida primary.”
Democratic Primary
360 registered voters likely to vote in Tuesday, Jan 29 primary. Weighted for age, race, gender, and political affiliation. Margin of error +/-5.5%
Clinton: 42%
Obama: 34%
Edwards: 9%
Other: 6%
Undecided: 9%
Towery: “Sen. Clinton is some danger of coming close to losing Florida. If Obama increases his African-American support a bit more, if Edwards remains in the race; and if turnout tends to be more motivated in the black community, then what seemed a safe state for Clinton could collapse into the hands of Obama. Clinton’s pledge not to campaign in Florida may strategically be the biggest mistake of the 2008 political season.”
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